Inflation, Bonds, Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements, T-Bills and Commercial Bank Interest Rates and Apple Savings Account
Bond Vigilantes want Higher Yields!
The overnight repo rate at the FED is yielding banks 4.80% per day to park this cash at the FED, this is the highest yield since 2014.
The banks would rather buy the 1-month treasuries which were yielding more than 4%, with the highest yield at 4.62% on 04/03/23, since then, the 1-month T-Bill has collapsed. Seems like the banks have a trust issue parking their cash with the FED overnight and would rather get a lower yield with T-Bills instead.
Commercial banks are making 4.8% overnight at the FED and have had the privilege to make greater than 4.0% with 1-month to 1-year treasuries, but the regular person’s bank savings yield is only around 0.01% APR. The numbers just don’t add up.
Even Apple is offering a better annual rate of return with the new Apple Saving account which is yielding 4.15% APR.
Many people are buying treasuries directly from the TreasuryDirect which are yielding more than what people are getting at the banks. The 2 month is yielding 4.98% APR, 3 month is yielding 5.09% APR and 1-year is yielding 4.78% APR.
Here are the current bond rates from the 1 month to the 30 year.
People who have money in the banks are asking themselves, why should they park their capital in the banks that are only yielding 0.01% APR. Many people are not financially savvy on their finances and are losing money by keeping their cash in the banks that are giving them a rate of 0.01% APR which is way below the rate current rate of inflation, which is sitting at 6.45%.
"Commercial banks are making 4.8% overnight at the FED and have had the privilege to make greater than 4.0% with 1-month to 1-year treasuries, but the regular person’s bank savings yield is only around 0.01% APR. The numbers just don’t add up." 'Shut up peasant' they explained....
Cash is viewed as a liability to banks in this environment. The system has become so perverted by decades of easy money it really only works within that bubble. The incoming commercial real estate bust is going to teach the banks what a real liability is - until they are bailed out by the depositors whom they have been screwing over. See, it all works out in a neat little circle.
Random check - 17 minutes after publishing. Timing is everything. Good article, Lion.
I’m back let’s collab bro